Stay Ahead of Inflation
You can’t control inflation, but you can take steps to help manage its negative impact on you and your investments. Explore the various effects of inflation and the different strategies available to counteract it.
Assess the Risk of Inflation on Your Finances
Inflation Means Your Money Will Buy Less in the Future
Counting on that $100,000 in savings? The loss of purchasing power from inflation can mean you need to withdraw more money than planned to cover the higher cost of living.
Here's how inflation guarantees your money will buy less in the future.
How Inflation Affects Purchasing Power
Even low inflation gradually eats away at your money. As our inflation calculator shows, at just 3%, a $100,000 investment will lose almost a quarter of its purchasing power over 10 years. At 6%, it could be cut in half.
See how inflation could affect your current portfolio.
How Does Inflation Affect the Markets?
Financial markets hate uncertainty. And uncertainty spikes when inflation is rapidly rising. Specifically, people worry about the Federal Reserve's ability to control inflation without slowing economic growth too much.
When uncertainty is high, the markets see large price swings. And these swings—also known as volatility—can play into our emotions and decision-making.
Make Better Decisions by Avoiding Behavioral Biases
How Inflation Affects Our Emotions—and Investing
Are you your own worst enemy? Our perceptions and biases can lurk under the surface—preventing us from taking the right actions.
But there are steps you can take to make better decisions for your financial situation.
Overcoming Behavioral Biases in Investing
Certain behaviors can pop up during challenging times. Here's what to look for.
Overcoming Behavioral Biases in Investing
Recognizing Common Behavioral Biases
Do you see yourself in any of these examples? Get tips to overcome these behaviors.
“With the markets so volatile, I can't just sit here. I’ve got to do something—now!”
Action bias—when under stress, you want to do something even if not taking action may be best.
“The market’s been trending down over the past few days. It’s not the right time to invest.”
Recency bias—you expect that conditions that have happened recently will continue.
“I’ve got bills to pay now. I can’t think about investing, even if it means I might have more savings in the future.”
Present bias—when today's news and needs can pull your focus away from your long-term goals.
“I never really thought about inflation until it spiked so high after the pandemic. Now it’s all I think about.”
Availability bias—recent experiences color your outlook for the future—for better or worse.
“I’ve been at this investing thing for a while now. Market research and data are great—but not as great as my gut instinct.”
Overconfidence—be confident but beware of blind spots. Consider other perspectives.
Behavioral content Cass Sunstein ©2024 All Rights Reserved
Take Action
Look to Inflation-Hedging Investments
It’s a tricky balance. If you invest too aggressively on a short time horizon, you risk losing money that you’ll need for the future. But if you invest too conservatively, your money may not grow enough. Finding the right balance is key to staying ahead of inflation.
What's Your Goal?
Preserve Purchasing Power
The risk of inflation eating away a portfolio’s purchasing power is well documented. That’s why considering investments that help you keep pace with rising costs is a vital part of financial planning.
Explore the role inflation-protected securities can play in portfolios. Also look at diversifying duration and keep quality in mind when it comes to choosing an investment.
Why TIPS Strategies May Help
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) are securities issued by the U.S. Treasury Department. They feature principal values and interest income linked directly to the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is commonly used to measure inflation.
When CPI changes, TIPS’ principal value also adjusts up or down. That means when unexpected inflation shocks occur, TIPS adjust to help absorb them.
TIPS have a fixed coupon interest rate. If the principal value rises in response to a CPI increase, the income dollar amount also rises by the fixed percentage amount, allowing investors to keep pace with inflation. TIPS also have a fixed maturity rate and are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government.
TIPS investments tend to be highly correlated with inflation over the long term.
Why Diversifying Duration May Help
Duration measures a bond’s price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. Interest rates and bond prices move in opposite directions, so the shorter the duration, the less a bond’s price will swing when rates go up or down.
When interest rates are rising, shortening duration may make sense. Conversely, as rates come down, lengthening duration might be more beneficial.
Changes in the economy and market dynamics can happen quickly, which in turn can cause interest rates to fluctuate. In addition, the Federal Reserve uses its federal funds rate to help tamp down surging inflation.
By diversifying duration, a portfolio may have a smoother pattern of performance.
Why a Focus on Quality Matters
Higher-quality investment choices, whether in fixed income or equities, have the potential for less volatility, particularly during times of economic and market uncertainty.
Lower-quality bonds tend to experience more volatility in response to changes in economic and market conditions.
Investments to Consider
Idea Supported | Investment/Ticker | How It Can Help |
TIPS Strategies | American Century Investments® Inflation-Adjusted Bond Fund (ACITX) | Designed to help preserve purchasing power by investing primarily in a portfolio of inflation-linked securities. |
TIPS Strategies | American Century Short Duration Inflation Protection Bond Fund (APOIX) | Designed to help preserve purchasing power with its focus on short-duration, high-quality TIPS. |
Diversifying Duration | Designed to help manage credit risk because these short-duration investments are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. | |
Diversifying Duration | Allows for better alignment with current economic and market conditions by focusing on short-duration and high-quality bonds. (Added benefit: the ability to own smaller allocations across high-yield and non-dollar-denominated debt.) | |
Focus on Quality | Offers diversification and income potential through a fundamental research-driven strategy that invests in quality, investment-grade corporate bonds with dynamic allocations to high yield. With ETFs’ generally lower costs, more of your investing dollars can be put to work for you and potentially compound over longer time horizons. | |
Focus on Quality | Offers the potential to deliver income, build capital, and manage downside risk over time through an equity strategy. |
Generate Income
When rising inflation is a concern, having investments with an income component can help offer some peace of mind. Choosing interest- or dividend-paying investments is one way to achieve this income-generating goal. (Keep in mind that these investments can—and do—lose value at times.)
Investments to Consider
Idea Supported | Investment/Ticker | How It Can Help |
Generate Income | American Century Short Duration Strategic Income Fund (ASDVX) | Offers diversification and potential for enhanced income by employing a multisector approach to short-duration and high-quality bonds. |
Generate Income | Offers diversification and income through a fundamental research-driven approach that invests in investment-grade corporate bonds with dynamic allocations to high yield With ETFs’ generally lower costs, more of your investing dollars can be put to work for you and potentially compound over longer time horizons. | |
Generate Income | Offers diversification and income by taking a multisector approach that spans investment grade and high-yield bonds selected through bottom-up fundamental bond research. | |
Generate Income | Offers the potential for enhanced monthly income free of federal income taxes through a research-driven, actively managed municipal bond fund. | |
Generate Income | Provides broad emerging-markets debt exposure seeking long-term total return by combining fundamental credit research and macroeconomic analysis. | |
Dividend-paying | Offers the opportunity for equity-like returns over a market cycle, using a different approach: holdings in U.S. and non-U.S. real estate investment trusts. | |
Dividend-paying | Offers the potential for income, capital, appreciation and downside-risk management over time. |
*Effective February 14, 2023, Strategic Income Fund was renamed Multisector Income Fund.
Grow Assets
Growing a portfolio at a rate ahead of inflation is a goal for many investors. As with any growth-oriented investment approach, diversification, appropriateness for your time horizon and including equity investments can all help. Another idea worth consideration is adding dividend-paying investments.
Why Diversification Can Help
Diversification, spreading your money over multiple asset classes that respond differently to market changes, may have a smoother pattern of performance over time. The key is to choose a mix of investments with a low correlation to each other—meaning they don’t all move in the same direction at the same time.
Why Investing Appropriately for Your Time Horizon Can Help
Knowing when you’ll need to withdraw money from your investment portfolio can help you invest with risk in mind. For instance, the longer you have to invest, the more you may consider investments with higher-reward/higher-risk potential because you have time to recover from market drops. Generally, the closer you are to your goals, the less risk you’ll want to take.
Why Investing in Quality-Oriented Equity Investments Can Help
Investing in equities offers the opportunity to outearn inflation, while focusing on quality helps to manage risk.
Investments to Consider
Idea Supported | Investment/Ticker | How It Can Help |
Investing for a Longer Time Horizon | American Century Ultra® Fund (TWCUX) | Provides an opportunity to outpace inflation using the potential for higher returns (and higher risk) over the long term via a focus on managers recognizing early signs of business improvement and identifying companies believed to be near the beginning of a cycle of improving earnings and expanding stock prices. |
Investing for a Longer Time Horizon | Provides an opportunity to outpace inflation using the potential for higher returns (and higher risk) over the long term via a focus on small companies, which by design have the potential to deliver higher returns (at higher risk) over the long term. With ETFs’ generally lower costs, more of your investing dollars can be put to work for you and potentially compound over longer time horizons. | |
Diversification | Provides an opportunity to outpace inflation using the potential for higher returns (and higher risk) over the long term through a focus on international investments. With ETFs’ generally lower costs, more of your investing dollars can be put to work for you and potentially compound over longer time horizons. | |
Diversification | Provides an opportunity to outpace inflation using the potential for higher returns (and higher risk) over the long term through a focus on emerging markets investments. With ETFs’ generally lower costs, more of your investing dollars can be put to work for you, and potentially compound over longer time horizons. | |
Investing for a Longer Time Horizon | American Century Select Fund (TWCIX) | Provides an opportunity to outpace inflation using the potential for long-term capital growth via investment management that focuses on large, high-quality U.S. companies. |
Investing for a Longer Time Horizon | Provides an opportunity to outpace inflation using the potential for long-term capital growth via investment management which focuses on high-quality, large-cap companies that the managers believe are undervalued, and an eye toward income. | |
Investing for a Longer Time Horizon | Provides an opportunity to outpace inflation using the potential for long-term capital growth via investment management that focuses on investing in credits issued by businesses the investment team believes feature attractive characteristics. |
General Disclosures
There is no guarantee that the investment objectives will be met.
Diversification does not assure a profit nor does it protect against loss of principal.
The information is not intended as a personalized recommendation or fiduciary advice and should not be relied upon for investment, accounting, legal or tax advice.
Investment return and principal value of security investments will fluctuate. The value at the time of redemption may be more or less than the original cost. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Historically, small- and/or mid-cap stocks have been more volatile than the stock of larger, more-established companies. Smaller companies may have limited resources, product lines and markets, and their securities may trade less frequently and in more limited volumes than the securities of larger companies.
International investing involves special risks, such as political instability and currency fluctuations. Investing in emerging markets may accentuate these risks.
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are bought and sold through exchange trading at market price (not NAV), and are not individually redeemed from the fund. Shares may trade at a premium or discount to their NAV in the secondary market. Brokerage commissions will reduce returns.
Fixed Income Disclosures
Investments in fixed income securities are subject to the risks associated with debt securities including credit, price and interest rate risk.
Generally, as interest rates rise, the value of the bonds held in the fund will decline. The opposite is true when interest rates decline.
The lower rated securities in which the fund invests are subject to greater credit risk, default risk and liquidity risk.
Credit risk is the risk that an obligation won't be paid and a loss will result. Generally, a lower credit rating indicates a greater risk of non-payment. Liquidity risk is the risk that the fund will have difficulty selling its debt securities.
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Foreside Fund Services, LLC - Distributor, not affiliated with American Century Investment Services, Inc.
Mutual Funds: American Century Investment Services, Inc., Distributor.